Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004117 0.004332 0.004552 0.004795 0.005056 0.005329 0.005636
2025-08-17 0.003803 0.004127 0.004475 0.004876 0.005329 0.005826 0.006416
2025-08-24 0.003555 0.003936 0.004356 0.004857 0.005442 0.006106 0.006925
2025-08-31 0.003356 0.003775 0.004247 0.004824 0.005514 0.006322 0.007352
2025-09-07 0.003175 0.003618 0.004127 0.004760 0.005535 0.006466 0.007684
2025-09-14 0.003019 0.003478 0.004013 0.004692 0.005540 0.006580 0.007976
2025-09-21 0.002920 0.003399 0.003967 0.004699 0.005631 0.006799 0.008408
2025-09-28 0.002756 0.003234 0.003806 0.004552 0.005517 0.006747 0.008473
2025-10-05 0.002676 0.003167 0.003762 0.004549 0.005583 0.006926 0.008855
2025-10-12 0.002639 0.003151 0.003780 0.004624 0.005753 0.007248 0.009447
2025-10-19 0.002557 0.003074 0.003716 0.004589 0.005771 0.007363 0.009753
2025-10-26 0.002484 0.003006 0.003661 0.004560 0.005795 0.007485 0.010071
2025-11-02 0.002410 0.002936 0.003601 0.004524 0.005810 0.007595 0.010381
2025-11-09 0.002386 0.002929 0.003623 0.004599 0.005980 0.007936 0.011060
2025-11-16 0.002328 0.002874 0.003579 0.004582 0.006018 0.008084 0.011449
2025-11-23 0.002268 0.002815 0.003528 0.004551 0.006034 0.008197 0.011787
2025-11-30 0.002201 0.002745 0.003459 0.004492 0.006005 0.008240 0.012013
2025-12-07 0.002136 0.002677 0.003389 0.004429 0.005968 0.008268 0.012212
2025-12-14 0.002099 0.002645 0.003369 0.004436 0.006033 0.008455 0.012689
2025-12-21 0.002015 0.002545 0.003253 0.004300 0.005878 0.008290 0.012550
2025-12-28 0.001980 0.002513 0.003228 0.004297 0.005924 0.008445 0.012977
2026-01-04 0.001971 0.002515 0.003253 0.004366 0.006084 0.008790 0.013767
2026-01-11 0.001928 0.002471 0.003210 0.004334 0.006083 0.008870 0.014079